Friday, 18 November 2011

Is the world coming to an end in 2012?

The things happening right now around the world are certainly making people believe that.
First off all the recent sudden rise of crude oil prices to $100 even though the world economy being in shabbles is a clear sign of some people in the commodities market might have started believing that US would certainly go to war against Iran. But Iran is not Iraq so certainly this time it is going to be worst.
There is a big division in Arab league after Syria was thrown out of Arab league. Syria open to fall under the influence of Shia dominated Iran. Shia Sunni divide might again come up in this atmosphere of conservatism.
The hailed unification of Europe into Euro is failing its objective. Euro region is showing fresh cracks. Citizens of nations effected sovereign debt mess like Greece,Spain, Italy, France, Germany have started to doubt the intentions of their Euro leaders and about the advantages of their staying anymore in the Euro zone. Euro leaders are running out cash, clueless of saving which nation first. I hope some country like Greece doesn't get thrown out of Euro which will result is relations among Euro countries going back to WW2 low.
Except Pakistan, Taliban region of Afghanistan and North Korea the whole of Asia looks peaceful and Prospering. The only concerns are an unstable Pakistan with unprotected Nuclear weapons, fresh bout of natural disasters all around Asia. Another natural disaster like Japan in countries like China or India and the whole continent will be taken 10 years back in time.
South America is suddenly suffering with a big drought making the world food production to go to a new low.
The world's biggests nations in stress will stop the development and rescue of the African continent and Africa might totally fall into the hands of rebellion mercernaries withincreasing the no.of people dead due to civilian distress taking it easily 20 years back in time.
Financial markets which I have been keenly watching since last 4 years are certainly factoring worst situation ever. Usually Financial markets factor in any scenarios which might occur 6 months down the line well in advance. Right now markets are already factoring a financial crisis which might occur by coming January caused due to european debt problem.

The above mentioned and many more scenarios certainly makes the whole world look like its moving fast towards its end.

But I don't want to look at it like that. I believe the world and the humanity will never end. I have this belief because even if we think our political leaders are irresponsible, we the citizens will not let them be irresponsible.
Look at the peaceful Occupy Wall street protestors fighting for social fairness, the peaceful protestors of the Arab Spring who introduced the idea of democracy in the Arab region mostly ruled by dictators and royal families, the peaceful protestors of the Lokpal movement inspired by Anna Hazare fighting against corrupt politicians eating on their taxes for years. All such peaceful fights in the current violent world remind you that many people still believe in the Gandhian principle of Satyagraha.

US govt is neglecting them, greedy corporates are paying the police to force the protestors to vacate the Wall Street but protestors are not giving up peaceful ways.Even the winter season is against the protestors occupying the wall street.Wall street protesters are not giving up no matter what. They just want their voices to be heard. Tired of unemployment, thrown out of their houses for not paying the debt that was forced upon them, neglected by the government they have no where else to go but the irresponsible Wall street firms. The US Govt instead of bailing out the debt burdened people bailed out the same Wall street financial firms who were the reason for the crisis which has not ended yet. These defiant protestors have inspired protests against corporate greed all around the world.Government is not lending its ear to them, many labelling these protestors as ill informed. Hope this negligence by US govt. doesn't become a reason for a new revolution in US.
US govt. is thinking of another war with another islamic nation. But this time I wish the educated citizens, family and friends of soldiers at wars and who have lost their lives in war stop another war. US govt has been successful in avoiding anti war protests by limitting live war news telecast by keeping the citizens blindfolded about the lives lost in war. I feel certainly this time the public inspired by occupy wall street will protest against another war.

Situation around the world worst. Food prices rising due to shortage of food, poverty more then ever, social gap between rich and poor more then ever, situations as such should have resulted into world rampant riots like the ones we saw in london this year. But still we rarely read about riots. Gandhian principles of peaceful protest is  followed more  then ever. I feel all future protests should and will be peaceful because such protest only yield the maximum benefits and certainly people are getting aware of it. Another financial crisis is imminent and it will come by next year as result of irresponsible capitalism, unchecked lending and irrational financial activities that have been conducted in last 20 years. If you have protected and nutured a poisonous snake over the years its for sure it might bite you back some day. Along with the negative consequences there are huge benefits this time if there is a crisis. This time the governments won't have the money to bailout the irresponsible financial institutions because govt. themselves don't have enough to spend on public. And this time voters won't entertain bail outs as 2012 is the election year for many countries including US. All the irresponsible corporate houses will be wiped out in the next financial crisis.
The famous Mayan civilisation and Astrologer Nostradamus predicted 2012 the end of the time cycle. Many pessimists interpretted it the end of the world in 2012. I am not a pessimist but even I believe it will be the end of the world but the world that was irresponsible. Next financial crisis is going to be worst then ever but responsible investors like Warren Buffet, Mark Mobius and many more will still previal. Responsible countries like China and India will benefit from it. The whole humanity will benefit as irresponsible politicians and leaders will be thrown out and peoples true representatives will be elected in coming elections as the citizens are participating more in political process through peaceful protest. I wish capitalism itself doesn't end as capitalism was the reason of our technogical advancement. Capitalism is good.
Coming year is testing with full of confusion and turmoil. But I feel its going to be the most important year, which decide the future. Its in our hand how we make it through the end of time cycle into the next time cycle.
Atlast the question, will the world end in 2012? Yes, the irresponsible world.

Note: I would welcome constructive critism on above article. Please do comment about your ideas on this matter.

Thursday, 17 November 2011

Nifty facing resistance at 5000 on downside

Nifty is facing stiff resistance on the downside around 5000. So traders can buy call options of 5100 whenever nifty goes to 4980-5000. expect a return of nearly 30% on those options.